Thursday, December 1, 2022

Good Bye Christie McVie - singer songwriter for Fleetwood Mac.









One of the bands during my formative years (there were many, such as the Rolling Stones, Genesis and Bee Gees just to name 3) is Fleetwood Mac. Formed by Mick Fleetwood (drummer), Lindsay Buckingham (lead guitar and lead singer ), Christie McVie (singer and songwriter) and Stevie Nicks (bum shaker and not much else) they played hit after hit of pop rock in the late 70s till the early 80s.

Don't Stop was co- writtten by Christie McVie  and I read with sadness that she passed on yesterday 30th Nov 2022 aged 79. RIP Christie. You will be missed from afar but your music and youtr lyrics stays on forever. 

Many of the singers of my formative years have burned brightly and gone to the great stage in the sky, so I respectfully put up this awesome piece done in 1997 Burbank Studios in California together with the University of Southern California marching band.

For the younger readers, you missed a tremendous era when music was untainted by the Woke, cancel and LGBTQ culture. 

It was a purer, perhaps more immature time for all of us. 

 

Sunday, November 27, 2022

Savour Victories Large and Small ; Find Joy in doing the small things well

 


Today I will list out some of the things I think I have overlooked and I need to savor and enjoy more. In addition, I need to be thankful for the many blessings bestowed upon me these 60 years running / walking / swimming / flying up this path.

1. Savour the completion of a very difficult or diabolical Sudoku (strange for many but for those who 'play' it makes so much sense.  As my brain gets old, the numerical, spatial, logic, memory, deduction or left side of the brain will lose its capability. So I am cognizant of this fact and must savor each and every challenge to it every single day. If I fall down hard, I must resolve to pick up the pieces and take on new challenges each and every single day.

I did a very difficult Sudoku this morning from the Sunday Times. 

Next up : Chess and Intermediate French. 

Timeline : 1 Year. 

2. I did 2 hard hours of cycling in the hot sun at East Coast Park yesterday. I pledge to do 5 times minimum per week of hard exercise, while my ACL recovers, at least to be able to run 10K one day without stopping.

I am glad, that for my age, I still have balance, stamina and speed

3. I am happy that every Sunday I am able to mentally calculate the sum total of the fruits bought from the Tiong Bahru market, as well as mentally tote up the bill for the dry groceries from Cold Storage supermarket at Cluny Court close up to the nearest 3 dollars. Its not perfect but I have trained my mind to memorise these numerical arithmetic calculations instead of ever relying on the calculator or handphone.

Things to improve upon :

a) Get back to running - albeit more slow, but increase the mileage 

b) Focus and concentrate on people's conversations and keep to the train of the discussion and not go off tangent. Stay on Point, rather than jump here and there like a frenzied chicken.

c) Be humble and do not self inflate my status, position and / or abilities.

d) Take criticisms from loved ones, relatives and genuine friends and understand why they said them, reflect and decide whether they indeed do have merit or not.  

e) Help the genuinely afflicted but do not fall into their state of mind. In short, stay connected by all means dive in BUT do not get myself enmeshed into their unique problems.  

f) My social connections are at their pinnacle. Now I need to improve on the "Pay It Forward" connections such as School, JC, Club and / or Charity.

g) Finally, ACCEPT that my body and mind will gradually decline. So I pledge to eat more healthily, drink in moderation, and accept that I am not as young as my mind thinks it is (forever 36 haha ).  


This is my Birthday Musings - from an Young Old Man  

I scribe ; this is one of the things which define me.




Lovely Lunch Hosted by Gurdeep at SSC Jade Phoenix Chinese Restaurant
From Left : Gurdeep Singh, Faisal Alsagoff, Yong Wee Loon, Alan Symons,Tom Gan

Tomorrow I will officially join the Senior Citizen's Club. Although I am not looking forward  to watching and experiencing my body wither first hand, I believe, I can mitigate and lessen the deterioration of my body and mind by doing the following :

a) Have a regular exercise regimen of at least 5 days a week of either brisk walking, cycling, karate and some running. I have been rather tardy of late, and I want to remind myself never to let slip the aerobic exercise till the forseeable future.

b) Playing lots of mental games, such as Sudoku, Chess, mental mathematics and daily arithmetic (such as calculating the costs of purchases from the petrol station, foodstalls and the 7 -11.

c) Having as wide a circle of family and friends whom I can interact with 

d) Doing meaningful activities such as volunteerism, leadership in clubs and even mentorship to undergraduates.

e) Reading, writing, playing music as well as learning new languages while travelling.

Writing is one such passion which has withstood the test of time. Testament to this, is the fact that this blog has been around for 14 years plus and with views of coming to 150,000 it is still going strong. I am amazed people care to read what I have to put up in cyberspace, as I hardly am the greatest observer of geopolitics, sports. I only manage a small business and try to make as many trips overseas for business and leisure, to widen my perspective of the world. 

On that note, I am truly thankful to my maker for me making this far. 

While I am actively running my business, I am planning to slowly extricate myself from the day to day activities and move into business development, most probably in a foreign country as this will be the new 'target' for my SME in the next year or two.

I am very blessed and grateful I still have the good health, the mental faculties, the family and friend support and the financial knowhow to continue what I am doing - at least for the forseeable future.  I have to thank my wonderful and supportive wife who has been my greatest critic and bellweather for many things on a day to day basis.  

So,moving into the 60s is not such a scary proposition after all.

   


Wednesday, November 23, 2022

Get Yourself Covered by Critical Illness Insurance Now (50 y.o. and above)

 This is a community message to all the readers of this blog. I have 3 messages which may save your life, your quality of life and even the prolong the length of your life.

1. Get a colonscopy done if you are above the age of 50. 

In Singapore, the No. 1 cancer for men is colon cancer. The No. 2 cancer is Prostate. Colon cancer can and does occur in people (in particular) and people above 50 are more susceptible to it. A lot of men do not eat enough fibre, do not drink enough, and when they do, it is probably sugared drinks like the sodas, alcohol, wine or spirits.

The cancer cells normally take years to grow, and they most often appear as polyps which are harmless. These polyps if they are not removed can turn cancerous. Hence it is imperative to get a scope once every 5 years upon turning 50 and follow the routine from then on.

If the polyp (or 2 or more) is discovered, it is unlikely to be cancerous if detected early (like mine was). However, in my case, I need to go for a check before the end of 2025 - as mandated by the good surgeon. The technology nowadays is so advanced, than upon detection, the polyp can be removed either through burning (cauterise) or cutting (snare) using a small flexible device attached together with the scope but the risk can then be reduced to almost zero. 

Hence a good regimen of early detection can and does prolong my quality of life and possibly prolong my life.

2. Get covered by a Good Critical Illness insurance (if you already haven't done so) Now 



I was prescient to sign up over the years to Aviva Care, now called My SingLife by Aviva in 2006. The plan 1 (which includes Private Hospitals) covers all procedures as charged, but there is a minimum co-payment of 10% of the total bill. This is so essential for our later years, as one thing or another will crop up once we turn about 50, 55 or older. You are advised to check online on the types of critical illness coverage and choose one which suits your needs and budget.



Hence, as seen by the bills above, my total bill for the hospital procedure for colonscope and endoscope, plus medicine, plus surgeon fees was S$ 6,324.96. After deduction from the Insurance, and from my medisave, my out of pocket fess was  $534.14

I am grateful I have dutifully accumulated monies in my Medisave, as they will come in so handy as I age.   

Do choose an insurance package which covers your hospital stay too, as the prices of hospital charges are rising every few years. And you don't want to spend all your hard earned retirement money on excessive bills - that would sour your mood in your golden years. 




  

3. Take Up a Critical Illness (Term Insurance) Payout if you can afford it  

 I am considering taking up an Critical Illness Payout Insurance soon, as this will payout a lump sum upon detection of any of the  35 critical illnesses (most cancers,brain diseases) up to the age of (say) 70.

This is like betting that you are likely to get something critical during the early part of your golden years. But there is 0 cash value and you take back nothing upon reaching 70 years of age.

If you are diagnosed with something critical, the payouts are huge (S$200,000) with up to 5 payouts for similar (after 2 years) and other (after 1 year) illnesses up to a cap of $1,000,000. This is very useful because you will find the money handy and you need to wind up or retire from working full time.

Think about it. 

     



Monday, November 21, 2022

The Shadow of a Recession and possibly Stagflation.


We are all watching with bated breath at our neighbours' recent elections. At the time of writing, neither of the main opposition parties, PH or PN have enough seats to form a simple majority, let alone a 2/3rd majority in Parliament (for laws to be passed convincingly), so it is highly likely that a coalition of parties will be formed to make the next Government, with the smaller parties forming the opposition.

The whole situation from our immediate neighbour is of concern for us here in Singapore. We can actually see the drama of meetings between rival factions playing out from our handphones and while the dust will take some time to settle, I think the reality of a Parliament which is too finely balanced will be felt by all in Malaysia.

Every new move now on, will be populist in nature and in the overall scheme of things, a backward move for our neighbour. This is my opinion.  

In Singapore, while the ruling PAP has 90% of the seats, we can observe second hand how  having a weak Government will or will not benefit the ordinary lives of the people.

While inflation is now rearing its ugly head, Singaporeans of all walks of life will feel its bitter bite only in 2023. There is also the new 8% (from 7%) Goods and Services Tax which will come into play. The asset class such as landed property as well as condominiums in the central districts will be harder and harder to reach with each passing decade, I fear. This is only my opinion and not one which a straw poll of say 10000 citizens were taken and their views recorded.

In the early 90s based on a median combined salary of 2 professionals (S$8,000),if 30% or  $2400 per month was set aside to pay the mortgage, at 4%, a 1000 ft2 condominium of $600,000 in District 10 would take approximately 18  - 20 years of working to be fully paid IF the 30% downpayment or $180,000 is paid up in CPF and cash. That, and the fact that if one of them is retrenched, they better have savings to pay the ongoing mortgage. I know these numbers well, as I was part of that couple in the preceding paragraph. 

Now, in the early 2020s, this same Condominium of size 1000 ft2 will cost  $2.5 Million or 4 times that in the early 90s. Given that the mortgage rates are now 4%, and the new median salary of 2 working professionals is now say $ 12,000 (or only 1.5 times that of the early 90s). Given that 30% is approximately $4,000 per month.

If the 20% downpayment (now with parents' help) of $500,000 is magically coughed out ($200,000 to 300,000 is more realistic). Then for a $2,000,000 loan....

It is likely that this young aspiring couple would have to work... 40 years just to pay off the principal and interest - the loan may balloon to $3,600,000 (simple interest 4% over say 20 years) and maybe, one day they can own the condominium. This is based on the assumption that the next 40 years we do not see another (or 3 or more) major worldwide recession. The impact will be jobs losses, people will be forced to downsize , resize or worse. 

It may reach a stage, if the economy stalls for a number of years, then we have stagflation. 

It all makes for a depressing outlook. 

Of course, this is all conjecture on my part. But so called economists have been calling out a Great Recession for over 2 years now.  

In summary, asset prices have jumped 4 to 5 times, while true earning capacity has at best doubled in the short span of 30 years. In addition, food, transport and energy prices all have risen. 

Of course, it would be still OK, if the economy was chugging fine and salaries are going up, property prices are still climbing.

What if, it all goes SOUTH for 2 years ???

Well the property prices will be falling, but can people sell them off faster than they can sell them ? It depends.

A loan of 2 Million will still be $2 million regardless if you sold your $2 Million house for $1.6 million or $2.5 million. The debt must be repaid. 

I shudder to think of the scenarios for those who are over leveraged with million dollar loans on their declining assets. 

Our elections are slated only in 2025, but n theory they can be called as early as mid 2024.

When a country has a Government which has very little or no power, it is not a good development.

Many things can and will go SOUTH with just one election outcome. 

Just look at our neighbour up north.... 



 


Sunday, November 20, 2022

Happiness

Our House 

Happiness ? What is it. Simply stated, it is a  transient emotion of each an every person.
The world has been gaga about trying to achieve 'happiness' amongst all the countries in the last 40 to 50 years that  there are numerous country Happiness Indexes, Charts, Quick Fixes, it makes you wonder.

Is Happiness measurable ? Happiness varies from person to person. 

Some people find happiness in eating good food.
Some others in solitude, or in vacationing, or going to karaoke to sing.
Others like the current generation, like to play VR team games  

In Maslow's heirarchy of needs, human basic needs are the of access food, clothing, shelter and safety. After these 4 are satisfied, the needs become more esoteric and the so called 'rights', freedoms and self determination of the individual becomes more pressing.   

Does being rich make you happy ? 
Not necessarily so.
With so much wealth there comes infighting within your family and loved ones, it is not a given but there is so much envy amongst the cohort when they see that you have made it, that sometimes very rich people withdraw from society and hence have few friends which they truly call friends.

If you are the top student in your class or year will this make you happy ?
Perhaps, but you then have the weight or expectation that you have to perform and be cleverer than the rest from today. That will weigh you down. 

If you are handsome and have many friends, are you truly happy ?
See the numerous KPop and Hollywood stars, musicians  and actors who committed suicide at the peak of their careers. They were lonely and dreadfully unhappy. 

Goo Hara, Robin Williams, Kate Spade, Anthony Bourdain are but just 4 who come to my mind.

Being Happy - it is a state of mind for each individual.

1. Staying Relevant and Doing Good.

To be happy, one needs to be doing something meaningful. He may be earning a salary and on the side, he is volunteering at the soup kitchen or in the Buddhist lodge preparing food for the elderly sick.

On the other hand, someone may be raising a family and / or tending to an elder in the family who is slowly getting Alzeimer's (for example). These may make people happy  knowing they are relevant and doing good. 

I have been extremely fortunate to own land in Singapore, thanks to my family's inheritance of  a small house in the central part of Singapore. We spent quite a small fortune tearing down the old house to completely rebuild a new one so the picture above is the 'new' house.

The property is fully paid. This means that we have no mortgage over our heads at this juncture where I turn 60 in a week's time. This I am very happy about. You must have read that mortgage rates have been skyrocketing this past year to over 4% and homeowners who have bought properties in land scare Singapore must be quite concerned with their mortgages now practically double of what it used to be just 5 years ago.

I have managed a total of 4 companies and one is doing reasonably well, so I am aiming to sell this profitable business to investors in the coming months and years. It is not a good thing to hold on to material goods, buildings and assets. It is better to exit while I still am near the peak of health and do things which enrich my inner being. 

I titled this post happiness, because in Singapore, as in many capital cities in the developed world, we need to find our Ikigai or our meaning for living. Every person's Ikigai is truly personal to himself and mine is only known to myself. I started setting life goals over 20 years ago and to date, I have attained some and have failed miserably in others.

Set personal life goals, attain them within reasonable amount of time. I do set goals every year since the year 2000.

2. Sometimes, one has to make sacrifices but in the end, he or she will be Happy

Sacrifices - to achieve your goals be prepared to Sacrifice some of your long held luxuries.

There will be sacrifices for sure, like becoming a married person, and a father, then as a caregiver to my aged parents. But at every few years, stop, take a look at your life goals, if you have achieved them, you will be happy. If not, keep plugging on. 

3. If your set goals are unrealistic - be strong and change them

If they are unrealistic to achieve, change them to more realistic ones. Don't compare yourself with the Joneses or the best of the best. Happiness is at best a transient state of mind. If you find someone who is always happy and laughing at nothing, you would think he had some mental illness wouldn't you ?? 

I am happy in my own skin, come what may. The outlook for the world economy is bleak, but somehow I think that I will overcome whatever life throws at me, curve ball or straight ball included.

I am determined to attain a major personal goal in the next  3 years. (2023 and / or 2024).



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